Ukraine’s Wheat Harvest May Fall by 35%: Satellite Image Analysis
The analysts estimate that due to disruption from the war, the agricultural production in Ukraine is likely to be at least a third lower than in normal years.
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According to The Guardian, Kayrros, a leading advanced energy and environmental geo-analytics company, estimates that due to the Russian invasion into Ukraine, the wheat harvest in 2022 is likely to be down by at least 35% this year compared with 2021.
Wheat production in Ukraine is likely to be at least a third lower than in normal years, according to analysis of satellite images of the country.
Ukraine is one of the world’s biggest exporters of wheat, but the war is taking a toll on the country’s agriculture and food supplies, sparking fears of shortages or higher prices around the world.
Last year, Ukraine produced about 33m tonnes of wheat, of which it exported about 20m tonnes, making it the sixth-largest exporter globally.
This year, with the situation as it stands, the country only has the potential to produce about 21m tonnes of wheat, down about 23% on the average of the previous five years.
But with more disruption from the war extremely likely, and fighting concentrated in the east where the main wheat-growing regions are found, Kayrros estimates that the wheat harvest is likely to be down by at least 35% this year compared with 2021.
Ukraine has already moved to ban exports of grain and many other food products, in an effort to preserve its own food supplies. Transport is also difficult, with Russia blockading the country’s Black Sea coast.
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