Russian Have Developed Three Potential Scenarios for September 1st in Ukraine: One of Them Is Extremely Dangerous
Russian authorities have prepared the information basis for potential attacks against Ukrainian schools on September 1st.
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Yesterday, on August 31st, Russian authorities released a list of the locations of schools in seized areas ostensibly warning of possible Ukrainian attacks against them as the school year begins on September 1, the Institute of the Study of War (ISW) reports.
The Russian Defense Ministry issued a statement on warning that Ukrainian forces are preparing to shell schools included in the list. However, previously the invaders had already made similar announcements in order to accuse Ukraine of bombings carried out by Russian troops.
According to ISW, this statement, along with the list of schools in seized areas, could be an attempt to set information conditions for three potential courses of action on September 1
The first, and most dangerous, may be a preparation for Russian troops to stage a false-flag attack against educational infrastructure in seized areas of Ukraine and blame the Ukrainian armed forces for the attack.
The second scenario (which is more likely) is that Russian authorities may be setting conditions to explain very low enrollment and attendance in Russian-run schools as the school year begins.
he third scenario is that Russian authorities could be attempting to establish a published no-strike list by identifying specific civilian infrastructure, which will later allow them to use the identified schools as military bases with the expectation that Ukrainian forces will not target designated civilian infrastructure.
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