Ukrainian army general assesses whether Russia is capable of launching a new major offensive.

Russia’s army is seeking to accumulate reserves for a potential future large-scale offensive, though the Kremlin’s capacity to carry out strategic operations remains uncertain.

Mykola Malomuzh, General of the Army of Ukraine and Head of Ukraine’s Foreign Intelligence Service (2005–2010), said this, Espreso reports.

In his assessment, Russian forces currently do not have sufficient resources for systematic offensive operations.

Malomuzh referred to recent comments by Ukraine’s Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi that Ukrainian Defense Forces destroy roughly 30,000–35,000 Russian occupying troops each month, while Russia mobilizes about 25,000.

«That leaves a gap of about 5,000–10,000. So where will they find another half a million to conduct the declared offensive operations? A Zaporizhzhia operation as a diversion would require around 120,000 personnel, and an operation in Donetsk region about 200,000–250,000. That means another 300,000 troops are needed — and trained ones, because those mobilized or recruited on contract lack the necessary experience. Numerically, they have no prospects for forming new brigades, divisions and armies, ” Mykola Malomuzh said.

He added that a major offensive would require not only manpower but also more combat assets — drones, missile systems, artillery strike capabilities and full support systems, including electronic warfare and communications, noting Russian forces are currently experiencing difficulties with Starlink.

Malomuzh said Russia lacks resources to restore the high-tech segment of its defense industry, apart from drones, and claimed Russian factories do not have new technologies.

«What Russia obtains through smuggling is very limited and is mainly used for ballistic and cruise missiles targeting Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, and partly at the front. The enemy does not have such forces and means in large numbers. Supplies from Iran have stopped, while North Korean support is limited. In many cases the external vector is blocked, while the domestic one is not producing strong technological solutions, ” the general said.

In his view, Russian forces currently lack prospects for a large-scale offensive.

«They will keep advancing toward Pokrovsk and Donetsk, while we will deliver strikes, for example, in Kharkiv region, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson region and even toward Crimea, ” Malomuzh said.